P2P Financing in a High-Interest Environment: Still a Good Investment?

Interest rates play a crucial role in shaping investment decisions, and in a high-interest environment, investors often rethink their strategies. With traditional savings and fixed-income investments offering higher returns, some may wonder: Is P2P financing still a worthwhile investment?

While rising interest rates can impact borrower demand and default risks, peer-to-peer (P2P) financing remains an attractive option for those looking to diversify their portfolios. Here’s why it still holds potential and what investors should consider.

How High Interest Rates Affect P2P Financing

1. Higher Borrowing Costs for Businesses

When central banks raise interest rates, borrowing becomes more expensive for businesses. This can lead to a decline in loan demand, but for many small and medium enterprises (SMEs) that struggle to secure bank loans, P2P financing remains a vital funding source. 

For instance, ​In Singapore, the average SME business loan interest rate spiked to 8.16% per annum in 2023, the highest in a decade, accompanied by a 42% reduction in average loan quantum to S$130,000 (approximately RM441,480) from S$224,000 (approximately RM760,704) in 2021. ​

In Malaysia, peer-to-peer (P2P) financing platforms have emerged as vital funding sources for these businesses, offering alternative solutions to bridge financing gaps. As of June 2024, P2P platforms successfully raised close to RM377 million, benefiting over 1,100 SMEs.

2. Potential for Higher Returns

 In a high-interest environment, peer-to-peer (P2P) financing platforms in Malaysia have demonstrated the potential for attractive investor returns. For instance, during periods of lower central bank rates, some platforms reported investor returns ranging from 10% to 15% per annum.  As interest rates rise, P2P platforms may adjust their lending rates accordingly, which could lead to changes in investor returns.

 It’s important to note that while higher interest rates can enhance potential returns, they may also influence borrower behaviour and credit risk.

3. Increased Default Risk

​In Malaysia, peer-to-peer (P2P) financing platforms have experienced varying default rates over the years. By 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic, some platforms reported default rates of 3% and 2.5% per annum, respectively.These figures were considered reasonably low given the economic challenges faced during that period.

​During the COVID-19 pandemic, CapBay also maintained a 0% default rate on its P2P financing platform. This achievement underscores CapBay’s robust risk management and advanced credit scoring systems, which ensured investor interests were protected during challenging economic times. While strong risk controls can help mitigate losses, default risks remain inherent in P2P financing and may vary over time.

Why P2P Financing Remains a Strong Investment Option

Portfolio Diversification

​Integrating peer-to-peer (P2P) financing into an investment portfolio offers a strategic avenue for diversification beyond traditional assets like stocks and bonds. By allocating funds across various asset classes, investors can mitigate overall portfolio risk, as different investments may respond uniquely to market fluctuations.​

​The global peer-to-peer (P2P) financing market has experienced significant growth, valued at approximately RM281 billion in 2019 and projected to surpass RM2.4 trillion by 2027, reflecting an annual growth rate of 30%. This expansion underscores the increasing recognition of P2P financing as a viable component of a diversified investment strategy.​

Competitive Yields Compared to Traditional Investments

P2P investments often provide attractive risk-adjusted returns, even amidst rising interest rates. While traditional bank deposits or government bonds may offer lower real returns after accounting for inflation, P2P financing can yield higher returns due to the premium associated with lending to underserved markets. For instance, in Malaysia, P2P financing platforms have reported returns exceeding those of conventional savings instruments, though specific rates vary by platform and risk profile.

Opportunities in Niche Markets

SMEs play a crucial role in shaping the Malaysian economy, much like in many other countries. Despite their prevalence, many SMEs encounter challenges in accessing traditional financing due to stringent requirements and limited credit histories.

As of 2024, P2P financing, equity crowdfunding (ECF), and venture capital/private equity (VC/PE), collectively raised RM4.1 billion in 2024, reflecting a 7.1% growth from the previous year. Additionally, the Malaysia Co-Investment Fund (MyCIF) has co-invested RM1.19 billion in over 9,000 micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs), attracting a total of RM4.92 billion in private investments, bringing the overall funds raised with MyCIF’s support to RM6.11 billion.

Key Considerations Before Investing

Evaluate Borrower Credit Profiles: Choose platforms that conduct rigorous risk assessments.

Diversify Your Investments: Spread your capital across multiple loans to reduce default risk.

Understand Platform Policies: Different platforms have varying risk mitigation strategies, such as reserve funds or buyback guarantees.

Conclusion

Even in a high-interest environment, P2P financing in Malaysia remains one of the many options available for those looking to diversify and earn competitive returns. However, as with any investment, returns are not guaranteed, and investors should carefully assess the risks involved, diversify their portfolios, and stay informed about market trends.

Interested to learn more about our P2P Investment Platform?

*This article is not meant to recommend CapBay products or be used as a tool to make any investment or financial decisions. Product recommendations must be independently evaluated before you invest. Any product recommendation by CapBay must not be regarded as financial planning or financial advice.